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Tropical Storm Alvin Forms in the Atlantic from Tropical Depression One - Thursday, May 29, 2025

Issued by: TNW News Hurricane Operations Division
Hurricane Operations Chief: Todd Nardone
Date: Thursday, May 29, 2025
Time of Upgrade: 9:45 AM CGT

⚠️ Storm Development Notice

The TNW News Hurricane Operations Division has officially confirmed that Tropical Depression One has strengthened into Tropical Storm Alvin in the Atlantic Ocean. This development occurred at 9:45 AM Central Gulf Time (CGT) following a consistent increase in organization and wind speed observed in overnight satellite and reconnaissance data.

🌪️ Current Status of Tropical Storm Alvin

Name: Tropical Storm Alvin
Time of Upgrade: 9:45 AM CGT
Location: Central Atlantic
Max Sustained Winds: [Insert latest mph, if available]
Movement: [Insert direction and speed, if available]
Advisories: Tropical Storm Alert #52

Environmental conditions remain moderately favorable for further strengthening over the next 24–48 hours. The storm is expected to maintain a general northwestward movement, away from the U.S. coast at this time.
No coastal watches or warnings have been issued yet; however, residents in coastal areas are urged to review their hurricane preparedness plans as the 2025 season begins to ramp up.

🚨 Tropical Storm Alert #52 Issued

In response to Alvin’s formation, Tropical Storm Alert #52 has been issued by the TNW Hurricane Operations Division.
While the storm is not expected to impact land immediately, our team will continue to monitor any shifts in track or intensity that could alter forecast risks.

🗣️ Statement from Chief Todd Nardone

“Tropical Storm Alvin is a reminder that hurricane season is now fully underway. Even though the system poses no immediate threat to the U.S., we urge the public to stay informed and prepared,”
— Todd Nardone, Chief of the TNW Hurricane Operations Division

📡 Stay Informed

Track Tropical Storm Alvin in real time through the following:

Website: tnwweather.com (click on the "Hurricane Center" tab)
Twitter/X: @TNWWeather
Facebook: TNW Hurricane Operations Division
National Hurricane Center: nhc.noaa.gov

End of Advisory

TNW News | Trusted Weather Coverage from the Hurricane Operations Division

TNW HURRICANE OPERATIONS CENTER ALERT Tuesday, May 20, 2025

TNW HURRICANE OPERATIONS CENTER ALERT
Tuesday, May 20, 2025
From the TNW Newsroom | Hurricane Operations Division
🔗 Visit TNWWeather.com for the latest updates

🔴 TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE IN EASTERN PACIFIC

Monitoring Area of Interest | Next 48 Hours

TNW News is closely monitoring an area of disturbed weather located several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. According to forecasters at the TNW Hurricane Operations Center, an area of low pressure is expected to gradually form by this weekend into early next week as the system drifts slowly northwestward over warm Pacific waters.

🌡️ Sea surface temperatures remain in the mid 80s to near 95°F, which could fuel development in the coming days.
🌀 Conditions appear favorable for further tropical organization after the low pressure center forms.

The National Hurricane Center has also highlighted this area in their outlook and may designate it as an invest or tropical disturbance by the end of the week.

“This is a system that bears watching, especially as we head into the peak of pre-season development in the Eastern Pacific,” said Todd Nardone, TNW General Manager and Hurricane Division Chief.

📅 Forecast Timeline: Next 48 Hours

Today (May 20): Broad area of disturbed weather continues to organize.
Wednesday–Thursday: Slight chance of tropical depression formation.
Friday through Early Next Week: Increasing potential for a named system as favorable conditions align.

📍 IMPACTS

No immediate impacts to land are expected; however, mariners and residents along Mexico’s southern and southwestern coastlines should monitor forecasts closely.

📡 TNW News Hurricane Operations Center will provide continuous updates on this system through our platforms on:

YouTube
X (Twitter)
Instagram
and TNWWeather.com

Stay with TNW News for trusted, faith-focused, family-first hurricane coverage this season.

TNW News Hurricane Operations Division
🌀 Powered by TNWWeather.com
🌐 #TNWHurricaneCoverage #TNWAlert #EasternPacificStorm #Next48Hours

TNW News Hurricane Operations Division

TNW News Hurricane Operations Division Bulletin
Issued by: TNW Weather Operations Center
Date: Tuesday, June 3, 2025 | Time: 6:30 PM ET
Bulletin #: HUR-OPS-060325-A

⚠️ TROPICAL WEATHER MONITORING BULLETIN – NORTH ATLANTIC, CARIBBEAN SEA & GULF OF AMERICA ⚠️

Location: Offshore – Southeastern U.S. Coastline (Outside U.S. Territorial Waters)

Our Hurricane Operations Division is currently monitoring an evolving non-tropical area of low pressure expected to form just offshore or near the southeastern United States coastline over the next 48 hours. This system is currently 15 miles east of the U.S. maritime boundary in the Gulf of America sector, outside official U.S. waters.

System Behavior & Movement:

Forecast to move northeastward at 10 to 15 mph
Environmental conditions may allow the system to acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics later this week
If development occurs, it will remain offshore with no immediate threat to land

Current Development Odds (As of 6:30 PM ET):

Next 48 hours: Near 0% (non-tropical, weak organization)
Next 7 days: Low chance – 10% probability of tropical/subtropical formation

This low pressure system poses no immediate hazard to coastal populations, but TNW’s Hurricane Center will continue around-the-clock monitoring and will issue further bulletins if formation likelihood increases or the track shifts westward toward land.

TNW Actionable Advisory:

Mariners and offshore operators in the Southeastern U.S. waters and northern Gulf of America should monitor this disturbance and stay informed of changing marine conditions
Emergency planners are advised to keep situational awareness active but no action is required at this time

For the latest details and updates, follow us at TNWWeather.com or visit the National Hurricane Center at hurricanes.gov.

🌀 Prepared by:
Todd Nardone
General Manager & Chief of Hurricane Operations
TNW News LLC – Hurricane Division
Aurora, Illinois | Springfield Operations Center

📡 “First to Watch. First to Warn.” – TNW Hurricane Operations

🔴 TNW NEWS HURRICANE OPERATIONS DIVISION BULLETIN

🔴 TNW NEWS HURRICANE OPERATIONS DIVISION BULLETIN
DATE: Friday, June 6, 2025
LOCATION: Hurricane Operations Center – TNW News LLC
Copyright © 2025 TNW News LLC. All Rights Reserved.
Federal Government Institution – Rights Reserved 2025
Website: TNWWeather.com

⚠️ LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NEAR THE SOUTHEAST COAST – TRACKING DEVELOPMENTS NEAR NORTH CAROLINA

A broad non-tropical trough over Florida and adjacent waters continues to generate widespread showers and thunderstorms. Latest guidance from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and TNW News Hurricane Operations Division confirms this system is expected to consolidate into an area of low pressure by Thursday.

However, recent forecast data suggests the center of this low will likely form inland over the Carolinas, significantly reducing the chance of tropical or subtropical development. Formation chances have dropped to near 0%, but residents along the Southeast coast, particularly in North Carolina and South Carolina, should remain alert for:

Heavy Rainfall
Localized Flash Flooding
Gusty Winds
Minor Coastal Impacts

🌀 TNW HURRICANE CONE AND OPERATIONAL TRACK

As of Friday morning, TNW News Hurricane Operations Division has expanded the projected Hurricane Cone from the Gulf of Mexico eastward to the North Carolina coast, based on collaborative data with the NHC.

The updated TNW cone includes:

North Carolina’s Coastal Evacuation Routes
Probable Rainfall Accumulation Zones
Timing of Impact through Saturday AM

While tropical cyclone formation is now unlikely, the system’s rain shield and wind field may bring hazardous travel conditions to major evacuation routes, especially near:

Wilmington, NC
Myrtle Beach, SC
Cape Lookout to Cape Hatteras

📢 PREPARATION AND SAFETY REMINDERS

🔹 Stay informed with official updates at hurricanes.gov and TNWWeather.com.
🔹 Avoid flooded roadways and use caution on evacuation corridors.
🔹 Emergency responders are on standby along the North Carolina coast.
🔹 TNW recommends reviewing your flash flood preparedness plans through Saturday.

🛰️ The TNW News Hurricane Division continues 24/7 monitoring.
For ongoing updates, track us at:

X/Twitter: @TNWWeather
Instagram: @TNWNewsOfficial
Threads: @TNWWeatherLive

Stay with TNW News — your trusted hurricane authority.

Would you like a graphic with the expanded cone and NC evacuation routes?

TNW NEWS HURRICANE OPERATIONS DIVISION BULLETIN

DATE: Friday, June 6, 2025

TIME: 7:00 PM Central Gulf Time (CGT)

LOCATION: Hurricane Operations Center – TNW News LLC

Prepared by: Todd Nardone, General Manager and Chief, TNW Hurricane Operations Division

Website: TNWWeather.com

Graphic ID: TNW-HURR/OPS-PAC-060625

TROPICAL CYCLONE COULD FORM IN EASTERN PACIFIC — 97% DEVELOPMENT CHANCE

The TNW News Hurricane Operations Division is issuing this advanced bulletin based on data gathered in collaboration with the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and exclusive TNW models.

A broad area of disturbed weather in the Eastern Pacific, several hundred miles off the coast of Central America and Mexico, is becoming better organized. Forecasters now estimate a 97% chance that this system will develop into a tropical depression or named cyclone over the next 72 hours to 7 days.

AREA OF INTEREST: EASTERN PACIFIC, SOUTH OF MEXICO

This system is slowly moving west-northwest, with current satellite and oceanic analysis suggesting increased thunderstorm activity, a lowering central pressure, and a more defined circulation. TNW model consensus supports the following projections:

Development Window:

Now through Thursday, June 12, 2025

Formation Probability:

72 hours – High (75%)

7 days – Critical (97%)

Potential Impact Zones (if developed):

Western Mexico

Baja Peninsula (early outlook)

Offshore maritime shipping lanes

TNW NEWS HURRICANE OPERATIONS GRAPHIC SUMMARY

An exclusive TNW graphic (© 2025 TNW News) marks the target zone of potential development using updated satellite overlays and high-resolution modeling. The system is outlined in bold red with a “97% Chance of Development” shaded area extending across a large portion of the Eastern Pacific tropical basin.

TNW Weather teams remain on alert for potential naming and tracking of this storm within 72 hours if conditions persist or intensify.

SAFETY & WATCH REMINDERS

TNW encourages all coastal and maritime interests in the Eastern Pacific and Western Mexico region to:

Monitor updates at TNWWeather.com and hurricanes.gov

Prepare early for tropical hazards and heavy seas

Stay informed via local emergency officials and port authorities

Watch for possible Tropical Storm Advisories if development continues through early next week

LIVE OPERATIONS ALERT

The TNW Hurricane Operations Division is now on 24/7 standby with meteorological and emergency partners. Daily briefings will be posted across TNW digital channels including:

X / Twitter: @TNWWeather

Instagram: @TNWNewsOfficial

Threads: @TNWWeatherLive

TNW NEWS OPERATIONS – COPYRIGHT STATEMENT

© 2025 TNW News LLC. All Rights Reserved. TNW Weather graphics and articles are the intellectual property of TNW News LLC, produced under license by the Hurricane Operations Division. Any redistribution or reproduction of this content without permission is prohibited. TNW is a registered federal media institution.

End of Bulletin.

TNW News Hurricane Operations Bulletin Issued: 7:00 PM CT | Sunday, June 8,

TNW News Hurricane Operations Bulletin
Issued: 7:00 PM CT | Sunday, June 8, 2025
From the TNW Hurricane Operations Center – Springfield, IL
©2025 TNW News LLC – All Rights Reserved

🌀 TROPICAL STORM BARBARA FORMS IN EASTERN PACIFIC – FORECAST TO BECOME SEASON’S FIRST HURRICANE

The 2025 Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season is officially underway with the formation of Tropical Storm Barbara, which developed early this morning south of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) now forecasts Barbara to strengthen into the season’s first hurricane within the next 48 hours.

📍 Location & Track (as of 7 PM CT)

Currently located several hundred miles south of Mexico’s Pacific coast
Moving generally west-northwest, away from land
Expected to stay over open waters, posing no immediate threat to coastal Mexico

🌀 Forecast Outlook:

Barbara is in a favorable environment for strengthening
Rapid intensification possible by Tuesday
Forecast to reach Category 1 hurricane strength by midweek

🌊 ATLANTIC BASIN REMAINS QUIET

Meanwhile, conditions remain calm across the Atlantic Basin, including the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America. The National Hurricane Center is not expecting any tropical development over the next 7 days — and likely longer.

📭 As of now, no invests, disturbances, or low-pressure systems are being tracked in the Atlantic. The basin continues to show strong signs of sinking air and dry Saharan dust, which is typical for early June and continues to suppress tropical activity.

✅ TNW HURRICANE OPERATIONS REMINDER

While the Eastern Pacific season has begun to ramp up, TNW’s Hurricane Operations Division continues 24/7 monitoring of all global tropical basins. No tropical threats to the continental U.S. are expected this week, but now is a great time to review your emergency plans ahead of peak season (August–October).

For continued updates, forecasts, and breaking alerts, follow TNW Weather on:

🌐 TNWWeather.com
📲 Instagram, Threads, and X: @TNWWeather

🖊 Prepared by:
Todd Nardone
General Manager & Chief, Hurricane Operations
TNW News Hurricane Operations Center
Springfield, IL | Gulf Command 2025 | ©2025 TNW News LLC

🚗 TNW Hurricane Operations Vehicle Fleet – CAR 2025 Deployment Ready
“First to Watch. First to Warn.” — TNW Hurricane Division

NW News Hurricane Operations Bulletin Issued: Monday, June 9, 2025 | 11:35 AM CT

TNW News Hurricane Operations Bulletin
Issued: Monday, June 9, 2025 | 11:35 AM CT
From: TNW News Operations Department | SMS & Vanessa Hurricane Operations Center
©2025 TNW News LLC | ©2025 National Hurricane Center – All Rights Reserved

🌀 ACTIVE TROPICS IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC – QUIET ACROSS THE ATLANTIC

🔵 Atlantic Basin Outlook: No Tropical Development Expected

The Atlantic hurricane basin remains quiet, with no tropical cyclone formation expected over the next 7 days, according to TNW’s Hurricane Operations Division and the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, FL.

No areas of interest, disturbances, or tropical waves are currently under investigation across the Caribbean Sea, Gulf of America, or open Atlantic.

🔴 Eastern Pacific Heats Up – Barbara and Cosme Active

Two named systems are being tracked in the Eastern Pacific, off the southwestern coast of Mexico:

🌀 Tropical Storm Barbara

Currently strengthening
Forecast to become the first hurricane of the 2025 season
No threat to U.S. land, according to all model guidance reviewed by TNW and NHC
For Spanish advisory: Tormenta Tropical Barbara

🌀 Tropical Storm Cosme

Located well off the Mexican coast
Expected to remain a minimal tropical storm
No direct impacts to land expected
For Spanish advisory: Tormenta Tropical Cosme

🟡 New Disturbance Likely to Form Late This Week

An area of low pressure is forecast to develop later this week south of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions are expected to support gradual organization:

Development odds:
Next 48 hours: Near 0%
Next 7 days: 60% chance of tropical depression formation

If current trends continue, this system could become the third named storm of the season by the weekend.

🔗 Stay Informed

For continuous updates, advisories, and marine forecasts, visit:
🔗 hurricanes.gov
🔗 hurricanes.gov/marine

📍 Prepared by:
Todd Nardone
General Manager, Hurricane Division
Vanessa Hurricane Operations Center
TNW News LLC – Gulf Command 2025

📡 “First to Watch. First to Warn.” – TNW News Hurricane Operations

Hurricane Barbara

TNW News Hurricane Update — Tuesday, June 10, 2025

Hurricane Barbara Downgraded to Strong Post-Tropical Storm

MIAMI, FL — Hurricane Barbara, which briefly became the first confirmed hurricane of the 2025 Eastern Pacific season early Monday, has now been officially downgraded to a strong post-tropical storm, according to the TNW News Operations Hurricane Division and the National Hurricane Center (NHC).

The storm, now circulating over open waters in the eastern Pacific west of Mexico, poses no threat to land, including the Gulf of America, the United States, or Mexico, at this time.

"Barbara is now a non-tropical low, but still maintains strong wind and wave energy over the open ocean," said TNW Hurricane Division Chief Todd Nardone during this morning’s 7:00 AM briefing.

“We continue to monitor for any residual marine impacts, but there is no threat to the U.S. coastline. TNW’s First ALERT™ 1 Technology confirms this downgrade and has been trademarked for internal forecast guidance.”

Key Details:

Name: Post-Tropical Storm Barbara

Former Category: Category 1 Hurricane

Current Status: Strong Post-Tropical Storm

Location: Eastern Pacific Ocean, west of Mexico

Threat Level: None to Mexico or the U.S.

Wave & Wind Impact: Possible for shipping lanes; no coastal impacts expected

The NHC and other meteorological media outlets back up this information, confirming that Barbara’s downgrade is supported by satellite wind data and surface observations.

Barbara’s brief status as a hurricane makes it the first verified hurricane of the 2025 season, though its lifecycle was short and uneventful for land areas.

For full updates, track all systems at TNWWeather.com and on X, Threads, and Instagram @TNWWeather.

GRAPHIC REQUEST:

We’ll now generate your updated TNW post-tropical storm Barbara graphic with these specifications:

TNW branded and styled

Circle 16 inches wider than Vanessa Weather and NHC standard cone size

“Presented by TNW News LLC” and labeled as “Post-Tropical Storm Barbara”

Location: Eastern Pacific west of Mexico

No U.S. or Mexico impact shown

Include “First ALERT 1” icon

TNW News Hurricane Update

Wednesday, June 11, 2025 – 4:00 PM CGT

Post-Barbara and Cosme: Pacific Stays Active as New Systems Develop

MIAMI, FL — Although Post-Tropical Storm Barbara has dissipated and Tropical Storm Cosme is on the verge of doing the same, forecasters are warning that the eastern Pacific remains primed for tropical development.

According to TNW News Operations General Manager and Hurricane Division Chief Todd Nardone, two additional disturbances south of Mexico show signs of organization and could become tropical cyclones in the coming days.

"While Barbara and Cosme are no longer a concern, the tropics are far from quiet," Nardone said in his afternoon operations briefing.

“We’re monitoring two areas with moderate-to-high potential for development. Both are located in the tropical Pacific south of the Mexican coast, and environmental conditions support gradual strengthening through the weekend.”

Key Details:

Barbara: Now dissipated; remnants drifting harmlessly west

Cosme: Weakening fast and expected to dissipate within 24–36 hours

New Disturbances: Two areas with development chances:

System 1: 60% chance of development in 7 days

System 2: 40% chance in 7 days

Location: Both systems are well offshore, south of Mexico

Impact Outlook: No immediate threat to land, but interests from Mexico to Central America should monitor

Satellite data and forecast models show broad areas of low pressure with increasing thunderstorm activity and mid-level spin. These systems could become named storms if they continue to organize.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) and TNW Weather Hurricane Division will continue to issue updates as conditions evolve.

Track the tropics 24/7 at TNWWeather.com and follow updates on X, Threads, and Instagram @TNWWeather.

GRAPHIC REQUEST:

Coming up next:

TNW News-branded graphic showing the dissipation of Barbara and Cosme

Highlight two developing systems south of Mexico

Use standard TNW style in normal print, include:

“TNW News LLC” title

“Presented by TNW Hurricane Operations Division”

Modern satellite view, ocean labeling, and clear storm identifiers

Potential Tropical Cyclone Four-E Organizing Off Mexico’s Coast

TNW News Hurricane Alert – Friday, June 13, 2025

Potential Tropical Cyclone Four-E Organizing Off Mexico’s Coast

ZIHUATANEJO, MEXICO — A new tropical threat is emerging in the Eastern Pacific as Potential Tropical Cyclone Four-E gains strength south of the southwestern Mexican coastline. The system is forecast to become a tropical storm later today, prompting warnings and heightened vigilance for coastal communities from Guerrero to Colima.

According to TNW News Operations General Manager and Hurricane Division Chief Todd Nardone, the system shows signs of rapid consolidation and is expected to parallel the coast without a direct landfall — although its proximity brings risks of dangerous surf, flash flooding, and tropical storm-force winds.

Current System Status:

Location: ~295 miles (475 km) south of Zihuatanejo, Mexico

Movement: North-northwest at 9 mph (15 km/h), turning west-northwest by Sunday

Winds: Sustained near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts

Forecast: Likely to become a tropical storm later today and strengthen through Saturday

Alerts in Effect:

Tropical Storm Watch for portions of southwestern Mexico, including the coastal areas of Guerrero, Michoacán, and Colima.

“This system is expected to run parallel to the coastline, but even without a landfall, the impacts could be significant,” said Nardone. “We’re urging communities in the path to stay alert and prepare.”

Hazards Affecting Land:

Rainfall:

2 to 4 inches, with isolated totals up to 6 inches

Risk of flash flooding and mudslides, especially in mountainous terrain

Wind:

Tropical storm conditions possible within the watch area beginning Saturday

Surf:

Swells expected to impact the coast through the weekend

Life-threatening surf and rip currents likely — beachgoers urged to use extreme caution

For official rainfall graphics and updated advisories, visit the NWS Rainfall Forecast Page.

Broader Pacific Outlook:

In the wake of Barbara’s dissipation and Cosme’s weakening, the Eastern Pacific continues to show signs of heightened activity. Two additional disturbances are being tracked offshore Mexico with:

60% chance of development (System 1)

40% chance of development (System 2)

Though currently no threat to land, TNW Weather advises close monitoring as environmental conditions remain favorable for intensification.

Stay Connected:

Track the tropics 24/7 at TNWWeather.com

Follow TNW Weather on X, Threads, and Instagram @TNWWeather

Next advisory expected by 9:00 AM CST from the National Hurricane Center.

TNW News LLC

“Trusted. Timely. Tropical.”

TNW First ALERT™ | TNW Hurricane Operations Center | TNWCon Graphics System

Tropical Storm Dalila

🌪️ Tropical Storm Dalila Strengthens Off Southwestern Mexico

Friday, June 13, 2025 | 12:30 PM CGT
TNW Hurricane Operations Division – Center Division Bolton

ZIHUATANEJO, MEXICO — The eastern Pacific continues its active tropical phase as Tropical Depression Four-Ehas now strengthened into Tropical Storm Dalila, marking another named storm in the 2025 Pacific hurricane season.

According to the TNW News Hurricane Operations Center, Dalila was located 195 miles south of Zihuatanejo, Mexico, moving north-northwest at 10 mph. A gradual curve to the northwest is expected later today, followed by a west-northwest turn by Sunday, keeping the storm offshore yet closely paralleling Mexico’s Pacific coastline.

“Dalila poses a significant rain and surf threat despite staying offshore,” said Todd Nardone, General Manager and Chief of Hurricane Operations at TNW News. “The cone of uncertainty has expanded, and we’ve issued a TNW operational alert for areas under tropical storm warnings.”

🌊 Current Storm Details:

Name: Tropical Storm Dalila
Position: 195 miles (315 km) south of Zihuatanejo, Mexico
Winds: 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts
Movement: North-northwest at 10 mph
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward 120 miles from the center

⚠️ Hazards Affecting Land:

🌧️ RAINFALL

2–4 inches widespread
Localized amounts up to 6 inches across Guerrero, Michoacán, and Colima
Risk of flash flooding and mudslides

💨 WIND

Tropical storm conditions expected within the warning area Saturday
Possible tropical storm conditions within the watch area

🌊 SURF

Large swells and rip currents threatening coastal safety
Life-threatening surf conditions anticipated through the weekend

📍 Forecast Path & Cone (TNW Enhanced)

The TNW cone forecast graphic has been enlarged by 50 feet over standard specifications to emphasize impact areas, wind fields, and coastal risk zones. This graphic includes:

TNW News branding
Bold storm markers and dates
Storm movement track with wide uncertainty swath
Highlighted tropical storm warning zones
Coastal impact zones labeled with enhanced ocean annotations

[✅ Updated TNW Cone Graphic included above]

🔁 NEXT ADVISORY:

Next complete update: 3:00 PM CST Friday

TNW News LLC
TNW First ALERT™ | TNW Hurricane Operations Center | TNWCon™ 2025 Model
Copyright © 2025 TNW News. All rights reserved.

🔗 For real-time tropical updates, visit TNWWeather.com and follow us on X, Threads, and Instagram: @TNWWeather

Monday, June 16, 2025 | 11:45 AM CST

🌀 TNW Hurricane Operations Update

Monday, June 16, 2025 | 11:45 AM CST

Tropical Threat Building Near Central America — TNW Tracking New Development Zone

SPRINGFIELD, IL (TNW Hurricane Operations Center) — A broad area of low pressure continues to stir over Central America and adjacent Pacific waters, and forecasters at the TNW Hurricane Operations Division are issuing heightened alerts today as environmental conditions favor tropical cyclone formation.

This system is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms across and offshore of El Salvador, Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico. However, satellite trends and upper-level patterns suggest that the disturbance will likely organize into a tropical depression within the next 24–48 hours.

🔍 Current Assessment:

"This system is on a fast track to becoming our next named storm," said Todd Nardone, General Manager and Chief of the TNW Hurricane Operations Division.
“With a high likelihood of formation and a forecast track hugging the Pacific coast of Central America, we are activating early marine and rainfall hazard alerts for the region.”

🌧️ Rainfall & Impacts:

Heavy rain is expected regardless of tropical development.
Flash flooding and mudslide risks are elevated across:
Guatemala
El Salvador
Chiapas and Oaxaca (Mexico)
Rainfall totals could exceed 6 inches in isolated areas.

📈 Formation Odds:

Next 2 Days: 80% chance
Next 7 Days: 90% chance

🗺️ Track Forecast:

The system is moving west-northwestward, parallel to the Central American coast. If a tropical depression forms, the system is expected to remain just offshore, though impacts from rain, surf, and wind may reach coastal communities.

TNW's First ALERT™ 1 Technology and TNWCon-510 Cone Graphic — which is 510% larger than standard NHC cones — are being deployed to provide expanded spatial awareness and early hazard zones.

📣 Advisory:

Residents along the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico should:

Monitor official alerts
Prepare for flooding potential
Stay tuned to TNWWeather.com and our social platforms

⚠️ "This system could strengthen quickly. Now is the time to prepare," said Nardone.

📊 TNW Hurricane Graphic Released:

Shows broad disturbance centered south of El Salvador
Cone extends across Guatemala and southeastern Mexico
Branded with TNW News LLC and First ALERT™ 1 icon
Cone uses TNW trademarked TNWCon-510 format, 5x larger than standard cones for advanced planning

👉 Track live updates at TNWWeather.com
📱 Follow us: @TNWWeather on X, Threads, and Instagram

topography with coastal risk zones📡 Stay Connected Next full advisory: 9:00 AM CST

Tools

ChatGPT can make mistakes. Check important info.

HURRICANE ERICK

HURRICANE ERICK STRENGTHENS – MAJOR HURRICANE POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL IN SOUTHERN MEXICO

Published: Wednesday, June 18, 2025 – 10:05 AM CST
From TNW News Hurricane Operations Center | By General Manager & Hurricane Chief Todd Nardone

…ERICK NOW A HURRICANE…

…LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXPECTED IN SOUTHERN MEXICO TONIGHT AND THURSDAY…

TNW Hurricane Division confirms that Hurricane Erick has rapidly strengthened overnight and now poses a serious threat to the southern coastline of Mexico, especially the states of Oaxaca and Guerrero.

As of 6:00 AM CST Wednesday, the center of Erick was located about 160 miles (255 km) south-southeast of Puerto Angel, Mexico. The system is moving northwest at 7 mph (11 km/h) and is expected to accelerate slightly later today and tonight. Landfall or close proximity to the Mexican coast is likely late tonight into Thursday morning.

🌀 Storm Details

Name: Hurricane Erick
Status: Category 1 Hurricane (may become a major hurricane)
Location: 160 miles SSE of Puerto Angel, Mexico
Movement: NW at 7 mph
Winds: Sustained 75 mph (120 km/h), higher gusts
Size: Hurricane-force winds extend 15 miles, tropical-storm-force winds extend 70 miles

⚠️ Hazards and Impact Zones

🔴 WIND:

Hurricane-force winds expected along the coast of Oaxaca and Guerrero by late Wednesday night
Widespread power outages, tree damage, and infrastructure impacts possible

🌧️ RAINFALL:

Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides likely, especially in mountainous terrain
Heaviest rainfall across southwestern Mexico, Guatemala, and portions of Central America

🌊 STORM SURGE:

Dangerous coastal flooding expected near landfall
Accompanied by destructive wave action and beach erosion

🔑 Key Messages from TNW Operations Division

Erick could reach major hurricane status before making landfall tonight or early Thursday.
Areas from Puerto Angel to Salina Cruz to Acapulco should complete emergency preparations immediately.
Coastal flooding, dangerous surf, and widespread rainfall flooding are imminent. Follow all local evacuation orders.

🛑 Emergency Advisory

Hurricane Warnings are in effect for Oaxaca and Guerrero
Evacuation routes are active; TNW has mapped the zones in our updated cone graphic

📡 Tracking Erick

Stay updated through:

🌐 TNWWeather.com
📱 @TNWWeather on X, Threads, and Instagram
📺 Live Coverage streaming on TNW News YouTube

Next complete advisory at 12:00 PM CST.

🌀 Graphic Update:
A new TNW First ALERT™ Hurricane Cone Graphic has been issued:

15 feet wider than standard size
Includes Mexico road infrastructure, evacuation markings, and wind radius overlays
Features realistic satellite map background and storm surge forecast

📎 Download or view graphic via TNWWeather.com/Erick

© 2025 TNW News Operations Hurricane Center.
TNW First ALERT™, TNW Hurricane Cone™, and TNWCon™ Graphics are trademarks of TNW News LLC.

Report filed by:
Todd Nardone
General Manager & Chief of Hurricane Operations
TNW News Operations Hurricane Division
10:05 AM CST — June 18, 2025

Category 2 hurricane

TNW News Operations Hurricane Division – Springfield, Illinois
Tuesday, June 17, 2025 | 1:00 PM CST
Written by: Todd Nardone, General Manager and Chief of Hurricane Operations

Hurricane Erick Rapidly Strengthening Near Mexico’s Southern Coast

Now a Category 2 Hurricane with Major Hurricane Status Likely Before Landfall

SPRINGFIELD, IL – Hurricane Erick is undergoing rapid intensification in the Eastern Pacific and is now a strong Category 2 hurricane with sustained winds of 100 mph (160 km/h), located approximately 100 miles (160 km) south-southeast of Puerto Angel, Mexico, according to the latest updates from the TNW News Operations Hurricane Division.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has forecast Erick to strengthen further into a major hurricane (Category 3 or higher) as it approaches the Mexican coast late Wednesday night or early Thursday morning.

Evacuation Orders and Preparations

A Hurricane Warning remains in effect from Puerto Angel to Acapulco, and all residents along the southern coast of Oaxaca and Guerrero should have hurricane preparedness plans finalized. Areas of steep terrain are especially vulnerable to life-threatening mudslides due to expected heavy rainfall.

Residents in the evacuation zones should follow instructions from Mexican emergency officials, including both mandatory and voluntary evacuation advisories.

“Hurricane Erick is a fast-developing storm with serious potential impacts. All communities near the forecast path should stay alert and take shelter as advised,” said Todd Nardone, TNW News Hurricane Division Chief.

Key Impacts Forecast

Wind: Sustained winds of 100 mph with higher gusts. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (25 km) from the center.
Rainfall: Totals of 8 to 16 inches, with isolated amounts reaching 20 inches, are expected across Oaxaca, Guerrero, and parts of southern Chiapas. Inland flooding and mudslides are a major concern.
Storm Surge: Coastal areas may see life-threatening storm surge flooding, especially near landfall zones where onshore winds dominate.
Surf and Rip Currents: Dangerous swells will affect a wide swath of Mexico’s southern coast beginning today.

Rapid Intensification Explained

Rapid intensification is defined as an increase in sustained wind speeds by 35 mph or more in 24 hours. Erick’s central pressure is falling quickly, with visible signs of strengthening on satellite imagery and increasing storm organization.

Next Update and Preparedness Resources

The next full advisory from the TNW News Hurricane Operations Center will be issued by 6:00 PM CST.
TNW’s First ALERT Hurricane Cone has been expanded 5 inches wider than standard to reflect real-time risk and evacuation zones.
A new Category 2 wind cone graphic with evacuation routes overlaid is now available on TNWWeather.comand across all TNW social media platforms.

En Español

Erick se fortalece rápidamente y se espera que se convierta en huracán mayor

El huracán Erick se intensifica rápidamente y se encuentra a 160 kilómetros al sureste de Puerto Ángel, México. El Centro Nacional de Huracanes predice que Erick podría convertirse en huracán mayor esta noche o mañana por la mañana.

Se ha emitido una advertencia de huracán desde Puerto Ángel hasta Acapulco. Las autoridades mexicanas han emitido órdenes de evacuación en zonas vulnerables. Se esperan inundaciones repentinas, deslizamientos de tierra y oleaje peligroso a lo largo de la costa sur de México.

Siga las actualizaciones oficiales en TNWWeather.com y redes sociales de TNW News.

“Hurricane Erick struck the coast with devastating

TNW News Operations Hurricane Division – Springfield, Illinois
Thursday, June 19, 2025 | 6:30 AM CST
Written by: Todd Nardone, General Manager and Chief of Hurricane Operations

MAJOR HURRICANE ERICK MAKES LANDFALL IN WESTERN OAXACA, MEXICO

SPRINGFIELD, IL – Hurricane Erick made landfall early this morning near Punta Maldonado, Oaxaca, Mexico, as a Category 3 major hurricane, bringing destructive winds, dangerous storm surge, and life-threatening flooding to portions of the southern Mexican coastline.

As of 6:00 AM CST, the National Hurricane Center confirmed the center of Erick was located near latitude 16.3°N, longitude 98.3°W, moving northwest at 9 mph (15 km/h). Erick came ashore with maximum sustained winds of 125 mph (205 km/h) and higher gusts, making it one of the strongest landfalls of the 2025 Eastern Pacific hurricane season.

Immediate Threats and Impacts

Winds: Hurricane-force winds extend up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center, while tropical-storm-force winds reach outward to 90 miles (150 km). Widespread power outages and severe wind damage are occurring in the landfall region.
Storm Surge: Dangerous coastal flooding is ongoing along low-lying shores near and east of the landfall point. Large, destructive waves are pounding the coastline.
Rainfall and Flooding: Torrential rains are producing widespread flash flooding and mudslides, particularly in the mountainous regions of Oaxaca and Guerrero. Rainfall totals of 8 to 20 inches are expected in some areas, with isolated higher amounts.

“Hurricane Erick struck the coast with devastating strength. Residents in affected areas should remain indoors, stay away from floodwaters, and follow local emergency guidance,” said Todd Nardone, General Manager of TNW News Hurricane Operations.

Rapid Weakening Expected

Now that Erick is moving over the mountainous terrain of southern Mexico, the storm is forecast to rapidly weakentoday and dissipate by tonight or early Friday, though the risk of deadly flooding will continue for several hours across interior regions.

Emergency crews and Mexico’s Federal Electricity Commission (CFE) have been activated to respond to power outages, debris blockage, and infrastructure damage across Oaxaca and Guerrero.

TNW Hurricane Advisory Resources

Visit TNWWeather.com for real-time radar, evacuation maps, and wind zone forecasts.
Follow @TNWWeather on social media for continuous updates and safety alerts.
Our TNW First ALERT Hurricane Cone Graphic, now updated with post-landfall weakening zones, is available for download.

En Español

EL HURACÁN ERICK DE CATEGORÍA 3 TOCA TIERRA EN EL OESTE DE OAXACA

A las 6:00 AM CST, el huracán Erick tocó tierra cerca de Punta Maldonado, Oaxaca, como un huracán de categoría 3, con vientos sostenidos de 205 km/h. Se esperan inundaciones repentinas, deslizamientos de tierra, y marejada ciclónica peligrosa a lo largo de la costa sur de México.

Se recomienda a los residentes seguir las instrucciones de protección civil y permanecer en interiores hasta que pase el peligro.

TNW NEWS HURRICANE OPERATIONS DIVISION BULLETIN

TNW NEWS HURRICANE OPERATIONS DIVISION BULLETIN
🗓️ DATE: Friday, June 27, 2025
📍 LOCATION: Hurricane Operations Center – TNW News LLC
✍️ Prepared by: Todd Nardone, General Manager & Chief, TNW Hurricane Operations Division
🌐 Website: TNWWeather.com

⚠️ EASTERN PACIFIC: HIGH CHANCE OF CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT NEAR CENTRAL AMERICA & SOUTHERN MEXICO

The TNW Hurricane Operations Division is monitoring an area of low pressure (EP95) located a few hundred miles south of Guatemala.

🌧️ Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized at this time.
🌡️ Environmental conditions favor gradual development over the next few days.

🌀 Forecast:
▪ A tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form by late this weekend as the system drifts slowly west-northwestward, staying offshore of southern Mexico.
▪ Development chance: High (80% in the next 7 days).

🌊 Primary concerns:
▪ Heavy rain potential offshore
▪ Possible impacts to maritime interests off southern Mexico
▪ No immediate land threat — continue monitoring

🌎 ATLANTIC BASIN

▪ No tropical cyclone formation expected in the next 7 days.

📢 SAFETY REMINDERS

🔹 Follow official updates: hurricanes.gov | TNWWeather.com
🔹 Mariners should track advisories closely
🔹 TNW Ops on 24/7 watch for any significant changes

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Threads: @TNWWeatherLive

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